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Imbalance and Fair Value Gap

A stretch of the chart where one side completely overpowered the other. Here is what an imbalance is, how to find it with three candles, and why price so often comes back to fill it.

Contents
  1. What an imbalance is
  2. How to find it with three candles
  3. Why price comes back
  4. How to trade it
  5. Common mistakes

In short

What it is
A gap in price where trading went almost entirely one way. Also called a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or inefficiency.
How to find it
Three candles: the wicks of the first and third don't overlap, leaving a gap across the second candle's body.
Why it works
The market seeks balance and returns where the other side didn't get to trade.
Weak spot
Not every imbalance gets filled, and in a strong trend price may not come back for weeks.

What an imbalance is

An imbalance appears when the exchange gets too many orders of one type — buy or sell — and there isn't enough opposing volume to fill them. Price skips a stretch with hardly any trades the other way. Every trade has a buyer and a seller, but when participants push too aggressively in one direction, an imbalance is created.

How to find it with three candles

Full trade data isn't available everywhere, so the chart-based definition is the most common. An imbalance is a three-candle formation where a gap remains across the second candle's body between the wicks of the first and third candles.

An imbalance: the gap between the wicks of the first and third candleimbalance123fill
A big second candle: the high of the first and the low of the third don't overlap. Price came back to fill the gap. Illustrative data.

Why price comes back

An imbalance shows where buyers or sellers didn't get an equal chance to trade at the price they wanted. The market seeks balance, so price often returns to these levels to give the other side its chance: sellers to sell, buyers to buy. Once the gap is filled, price is more likely to continue in the direction of the main trend.

Imbalances in an impulse get filled and the trend continuesimbalancefilled
An impulse leaves imbalances; price fills them on pullbacks and moves on.

How to trade it

01
Identify the trend
Imbalances with the trend work better than against it.
02
Mark the imbalance in the impulse
Especially valuable in a move that broke structure.
03
Wait for the return
Enter when price trades into the imbalance zone and shows a reaction.
04
Stop beyond the zone
Beyond the far edge of the imbalance or the start of the impulse.
05
After the fill, go with the trend
Once all the imbalances below price are filled, look for trades in the main trend's direction.

An imbalance is a zone of interest, not a guaranteed turning point. If price cuts straight through it and holds beyond, it's done — don't sit in a loss hoping for a return.

Common mistakes

Marking every tiny gap

On lower timeframes imbalances are everywhere. The big ones in impulses on your working timeframe are what matter.

Trading an imbalance against the trend

A fill against the trend often ends with the trend resuming.

Entering without a reaction

Touching the zone isn't a signal yet. You need a rejection candle or a break of minor structure.

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